531w26

Modeling and Analysis of Time Series Data (STATS 531)

Chapter 15. Likelihood maximization for POMP models

We continue using material from the short course Simulation-Based Inference for Epidemiological Dynamics (SBIED). STATS 531 Chapter 15 is Chapter 4 of SBIED. The main topic is likelihood maximization via an iterated particle filter. This enables a range of tools of likelihood-based inference to be applied—maximum likelihood estimation, likelihood ratio tests, profile likelihood confidence intervals, and AIC for model selection. Methods are demonstrated on a model for measles, but these techniques apply to the wide range of POMP models for which particle filtering is applicable.

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Recording, Summer 2021, Part 1 (16 mins)
Recording, Summer 2021, Part 2 (15 mins)
Recording, Summer 2021, Part 3 (25 mins)
Recording, Summer 2021, Part 4 (33 mins)
Recording, Summer 2021, Part 5 (20 mins)

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