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Modeling and Analysis of Time Series Data (STATS 531)

Chapter 18. A case study of ebola: Forecasting and diagnostics

We continue using material from the short course Simulation-Based Inference for Epidemiological Dynamics (SBIED). STATS 531 Chapter 18 is Chapter 6 of SBIED. This analysis uses summary statistics, called probes, to diagnose model misspecification. A scientific goal is to investigate the advantages of using POMP models rather than deterministic mechanistic models. We show how to forecast using a POMP model.

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Recording, Summer 2020 (40 min))

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